National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Lumber Imports and Employment Fall
Lumber Imports and Employment Fall
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U.S. sawmill production was unchanged in the third quarter according to the Federal Reserve G.17 Industrial Production report. Utilization rates for sawmills and wood preservation industries remained near 70% despite ...
Best Year for Missing Middle Construction Since 2007
Best Year for Missing Middle Construction Since 2007
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While not a huge jump, 2025 featured the highest construction volume for multifamily missing middle housing starts. The missing middle construction sector includes development of medium-density housing, such as townhouses, duplexes and ...
Builder Sentiment Inches Higher but Affordability Concerns Persist
Builder Sentiment Inches Higher but Affordability Concerns Persist
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Builder sentiment inched up in March even as builders continue to express affordability concerns stemming from elevated construction costs and shortages of buildable lots and labor. Builder confidence in the ...
Small Gains for New Single-Family Home Size
Small Gains for New Single-Family Home Size
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New single-family home size had been falling since 2015 in response to declining affordability conditions. An exception occurred in 2021, when new home size increased as interest rates reached historic ...
Flat Conditions for Open Construction Jobs
Flat Conditions for Open Construction Jobs
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The number of open positions in construction in January was flat year-over-year, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The current level of open jobs ...
Custom Home Building Expanded in 2025
Custom Home Building Expanded in 2025
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In a year that saw a more than 6% decline for overall single-family housing starts, custom home building posted a gain. The custom building market is less sensitive to the ...
Weaker Conditions for Single-Family Built-for-Rent Housing
Weaker Conditions for Single-Family Built-for-Rent Housing
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Single-family built-for-rent (or built-to-rent, BTR) construction fell back in the fourth quarter of 2025, as a higher cost of financing and increased multifamily supply crowded out development. Housing legislation now ...
Flat Conditions for Townhouse Construction
Flat Conditions for Townhouse Construction
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Final data for 2025 reveal relatively flat conditions for townhouse construction volume in a year that saw broad-based declines for single-family home building. Townhouse construction ended 2025 with a soft ...
Single-Family Starts Remain Soft in January on Affordability Concerns
Single-Family Starts Remain Soft in January on Affordability Concerns
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Elevated construction costs and constrained affordability conditions led to a reduction in single-family housing starts in January. However, led by solid multifamily production, overall housing starts increased 7.2% in January ...
Inflation Steady Before War
Inflation Steady Before War
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After months of downward trend, inflation held steady at an eight-month low in February. This report does not reflect the recent surge in oil prices due to Iran conflict beginning ...
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In the first quarter of 2022, real GDP declined for the first time since the pandemic recession, as inflation surged to a 40-year high and supply chain disruptions remain persistent. This quarter’s decrease reflected a deceleration in private inventory investment, decreases in exports and government...

The Census Bureau’s Housing Vacancy Survey (CPS/HVS) reported the U.S. homeownership rate at 65.4% in the first quarter of 2022, which is statistically unchanged from the last quarter reading. The national homeowner vacancy rate slipped to a record low of 0.8%, while the rental vacancy...

NAHB analysis of the most recent Census estimates concerning sources of financing for new home sales reveals that conventional loans accounted for 78.5% of new home sales in the first quarter of 2022, the highest share in more than a decade. Conventional loans financed over...

New single-family home sales declined in March as mortgage rates jumped to the highest levels since the start of the pandemic. Per Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage was 3.89 at the end of February and had climbed to 4.67 at the end of...

The financial performance of any company is directly linked to the industry environment in which it operates. Factors such as the number and size of its competitors, barriers to enter or exit, capital requirements, economies of scale, or the bargaining power of customers and suppliers...

Private fixed investment in dormitories stood at a seasonally adjusted annual rates (SAAR) of $3.08 billion in the last quarter of 2021, according to the data released by Bureau of Economic Analysis. Student housing investment was 2.9% higher over the third quarter of 2021. However,...

An earlier post revealed that 67% of buyers who were actively engaged in the process of finding a home in the 1st quarter of 2022 have spent 3+ months searching for a home without success. By far, the most common reason these long-term searchers cite...

A growing segment of prospective home buyers aren’t moving past the planning stage. At its peak in mid-2021, 61% were actively trying to find a home to buy. Now, the share is back to pre-pandemic levels, at 46%. This is clear evidence that higher mortgage...

Buyers’ expectations for housing affordability continue to sour. In the first quarter of 2022, 81% said they could afford less than half the homes for-sale in their markets – the highest share since before the pandemic. At its lowest point in the 4th quarter of...

Buyers’ expectations of housing availability continue to worsen. At its peak in the 4th quarter of 2020, 36% expected the home search to get easier in the months ahead. After five straight drops, the share is now 17% – a level not seen since 2018....

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 34 states and the District of Columbia in March compared to the previous month while 16 states lost jobs. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 431,000 in March, following a gain of...

As rising mortgage rates and high inflation continue to price out homebuyers and reduce affordability, existing home sales dropped to the lowest level since June 2020, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). However, the trend in home price appreciation continued as supply remained...

Preference for newly constructed homes skyrocketed in 2020, as buyers looked for homes with more square footage and amenities in which to work remotely, school children, exercise, etc. By the fourth quarter of 2020, 42% of prospective buyers preferred new construction. Since then, however, rising...

The share of adults planning a home purchase within a year fell for a third straight quarter in the first three months of 2022, down to 13%. The last time fewer American adults intended to buy a home was in the second quarter of 2020...

Single-family starts permits declined in March, as higher interest rates weighed on housing affordability and produced a fourth straight decline for the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI. Additionally, the cost and availability of materials, lumber, labor and lots remain key supply-side headwinds. Nonetheless, the resale market lacks...

Rapidly rising interest rates combined with ongoing home price increases and higher construction costs continue to take a toll on builder confidence and housing affordability. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes moved two points lower to 77 in April, according to...

Over the first two month of 2022, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 170,716. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is a 3.5% increase over the February 2021 level of 164,901. Year-to-date ending in February, single-family permits declined in two...

The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) for the first quarter of 2022 posted a reading of 86, unchanged from the first quarter of 2021. The RMI and all of its components and subcomponents were 80 or higher (on a scale of 0 to 100)...

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