National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Building Material Price Inflation Remains High Despite Energy Price Declines
Building Material Price Inflation Remains High Despite Energy Price Declines
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The Producer Price Index for final demand was up 0.3% in October, after rising 1.4% in September. Compared to a year ago, final demand prices were up 6.5%. The price ...
No Relief: Credit Conditions for Builders Still Tightening
No Relief: Credit Conditions for Builders Still Tightening
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Credit conditions on loans for residential Land Acquisition, Development & Construction (AD&C) were still tightening in the third quarter of 2026, according to NAHB’s quarterly survey on AD&C Financing. The ...
Existing Home Sales Fell to 16-Year Low
Existing Home Sales Fell to 16-Year Low
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After a brief rebound last month, existing home sales plummeted to a 16-year low in October. With mortgage rates back above 7% since mid-September and home prices still elevated, buyers ...
Significantly Weaker Demand for Residential Mortgages and CRE Loans in Third Quarter
Significantly Weaker Demand for Residential Mortgages and CRE Loans in Third Quarter
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Demand for all types of residential mortgages was significantly weaker, while lending standards for most were essentially unchanged in the third quarter of 2026, according to the recent release of ...
Household Debt Delinquencies Rise as Mortgage Performance Weakens
Household Debt Delinquencies Rise as Mortgage Performance Weakens
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Household debt delinquency rates increased in the third quarter of 2026 as the share of delinquent balances and the transition to seriously delinquent debt increased. According to the latest Quarterly ...
Consumer Credit Growth Picks Up in the Third Quarter of 2026 
Consumer Credit Growth Picks Up in the Third Quarter of 2026 
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Consumer credit growth accelerated in the third quarter of 2026, with both revolving and nonrevolving credit increasing at their fastest quarterly rates since 2022. Total outstanding consumer credit reached $5.22 ...
Inflation Persists in October
Inflation Persists in October
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Inflation remained elevated in October even as energy prices eased, raising expectations of another Fed rate hike. Shelter returned as the largest driver of headline inflation, accounting for over 30% ...
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Confidence in the market increased for multifamily developers in the second quarter of 2025, according to the Multifamily Market Survey (MMS) released today by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). The MMS produces two separate indices. The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) was up two...

Mortgage application activity picked up in July as interest rates eased modestly. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, which tracks mortgage application volume, rose 2.4% from June on a seasonally adjusted basis. Compared to July 2024, total applications were up 24.5%. The average...

American housing market is facing a persistent shortage. Home prices have reached historic highs and affordability has declined. Normally, in response to higher prices, housing supply would increase. However, new home construction has not kept pace with population growth and household formation, especially following the...

Average mortgage rates dipped in July, according to Freddie Mac. The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.72%, 10 basis points (bps) lower than June. Meanwhile, the 15-year rate declined 9 bps to average at 5.86%. Compared to a year ago, the 30-year rate is down...

Private fixed investment in student dormitories inched up 0.3% in the second quarter of 2025, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $3.9 billion. This gain followed a 1.1% decrease in the previous quarter, as elevated interest rates placed a damper on student housing...

Private residential construction spending fell by 0.7% in June, marking the sixth straight month of decreases. This decline was primarily driven by reduced spending on single-family construction. Compared to a year ago, total spending was down 6.2%, as the housing sector continues to navigate the...

Personal income increased by 0.3% in June, following a 0.4% dip in May, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The gains in personal income were largely driven by higher wages and social benefits. However, the pace of personal income growth...

Housing’s share of the economy registered 16.3% in the second quarter of 2025, according to the advance estimate of GDP produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This reading is unchanged from a revised level of 16.3% in the first quarter and is the same...

At the conclusion of its July meeting, the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee once again held the federal funds rate constant at a top rate of 4.5%. However, two members of the committee dissented from the decision (Fed Board Governors Waller and Bowman), the largest...

In the second quarter of 2025, the median price for a new single-family home was $410,800, which was $18,600 lower than the median price of existing homes, which stood at $429,400. This marks the largest historical gap where existing home prices exceeded those of new...

The count of open, unfilled positions in the construction industry held steady amid a slowdown for housing, per the June Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The number of open jobs for the overall economy decreased slightly from 7.71 million...

The latest homeownership rate declined to 65% in the second quarter of 2025, marking its lowest level since late 2019, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). With mortgage interest rates remaining elevated and housing supply still tight, housing affordability is at a multidecade...

In 2024, there were 24,000 homes that exceeded 5,000 square feet, equating to a 2.3% market share of all new homes started. Both the number and market share for 5,000+ square foot homes experienced declines from 2023, according to the annual data from the Census...

Challenging affordability conditions, elevated interest rates and economic uncertainty continue to act as headwinds on the housing sector as many potential buyers continue to stay on the sidelines. Sales of newly built single-family homes edged 0.6% higher in June, rising to a seasonally adjusted annual...

Existing home sales fell to 9-month low in June as home prices hit another monthly record high, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sluggish pace of sales suggest that higher mortgage rates and elevated home prices are continuing to sideline buyers, despite improved...

The majority of single-family home builders do not currently use Artificial Intelligence (AI) in their businesses.  For the highest use, 20% of builders use AI to generate advertising/marketing materials and 11% to help analyze markets/plan projects.  Less than 5% currently use this tool to help...

An earlier post described how the top 10 builders in the country captured a record 44.7% of new single-family closings in 2024. BUILDER Magazine has now released additional data on the top ten builders within each of the 50 largest new home markets in the...

The share of new single-family homes built with individual septic systems declined slightly in 2024 compared to the previous year, while the share of homes served by private wells remained steady. According to NAHB’s analysis of the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC), approximately 16%...

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