Eric Lynch

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How Quickly Do Prices Respond to Monetary Policy?

As economist Milton Friedman once quipped, monetary policy has a history of operating with “long and variable lags.”[1] What Friedman was expressing is that it takes some time for the true effects of monetary policy, like the changing of the federal funds rate, to permeate completely through the larger economy. While some industries, like housing,…

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Remodeling Market Sentiment Remains in Positive Territory in First Quarter

The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) for the first quarter of 2024 posted a reading of 66, down one point compared to the previous quarter. Demand for remodeling remains solid and an RMI of 66 is consistent with NAHB’s forecast for remodeling spending in 2024.  Nevertheless, construction costs are still an issue in some…

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Multifamily Developer Confidence in Negative Territory in Fourth Quarter

Confidence in the market for new multifamily housing was in negative territory for the fourth quarter, according to results from the Multifamily Market Survey (MMS) released today by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).  The MMS produces two separate indices.  The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) had a reading of 41 – below the break-even…

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Modest Improvements in Demand, Lending Conditions for Real Estate Loans During Q4 2023

According to the Federal Reserve Board’s January 2024 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS), lending standards loosened for all commercial real estate (CRE) loan categories and residential real estate (RRE) categories in the fourth quarter of 2023.  Demand for RRE and CRE loans improved across all categories over the quarter, except for government loans. Even though the…

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Remodeling Market Sentiment Improves in Fourth Quarter

The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI), a measure of sentiment among professional remodelers, for the fourth quarter posted a reading of 67, increasing two points compared to the previous quarter. Remodelers’ sentiment was quite positive at the end of 2023, when seasonally adjusted for the slowdown that invariably occurs during that part of the…

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Multifamily Developer Confidence Comes in Weak in Third Quarter on Financing Concerns

Confidence in the market for new multifamily housing was in negative territory for the third quarter, according to results from the Multifamily Market Survey (MMS) released today by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).  The MMS produces two separate indices. The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) had a reading of 38 – well below the…

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