Eye On Housing
Personal Income Rises 0.2% in December
The most recent data release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) showed that personal income increased 0.2% in December. The pace of personal income growth slowed after reaching a 0.8% monthly gain in October. Gains in personal income are largely driven by increases in compensation of employees in December. Real disposable income, income remaining after adjusted for taxes and… Read More ›
Recent Posts
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Buyers Expect Less Housing Availability
After a brief respite earlier in 2022, buyers’ expectations of housing availability soured again at the end of the year. In the final quarter of 2022, the share of buyers who expect the home search to get easier in the months ahead dropped to 24%, down from 37% in the third quarter. In contrast, 66% expect the search to get… Read More ›
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New Home Sales Uptick in December But Market Weakness Remains
While new home sales posted a modest gain in December, elevated mortgage rates and higher construction costs continue to hinder housing affordability and put a damper on consumer demand. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau estimated sales of newly built, single-family homes in December at a 616,000 seasonally adjusted annual pace, which is… Read More ›
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Economic Growth and Signs of Cooling Inflation End 2022
The U.S. economy continued to grow in the fourth quarter of 2022. As consumer spending and private inventory investment helped increase GDP, residential fixed investment dragged down the contribution to percent change in real GDP by 1.29 percentage points. More importantly, the data from the GDP report suggests that inflation is cooling. The GDP price index, rose 3.5% for the… Read More ›
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Housing Share of GDP Lower in the Fourth Quarter of 2022
Housing’s share of the economy edged lower at the end of the fourth quarter of 2022. This is the second straight quarter where GDP increased in 2022, with overall GDP increasing at a 2.9% annual rate, following a 3.2% increase in the third quarter and 0.6% decrease in the second quarter. However, due to higher interest rates, housing’s share of… Read More ›
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Popularity of New Homes Declines in Final Quarter of 2022
Interest for new home construction weakened in the fourth quarter of 2022, driven by high mortgage rates and elevated new home prices. The latest Housing Trends Report (HTR) shows that the share of prospective buyers looking to buy new construction dropped to 20% in the final quarter of 2022, down from 27% a quarter earlier. The latest decline in interest… Read More ›
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Employment Situation in December: State-Level Analysis
Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 32 states and the District of Columbia in December compared to the previous month, while 18 states lost jobs. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in December, following a gain of 256,000 jobs in November. On a month-over-month basis, employment data was strong in Texas, which… Read More ›
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Fewer Adults are Planning a Home Purchase
The share of adults planning a home purchase in the next 12 months dropped to 13% in the final quarter of 2022, down from 15% in the previous quarter. The drop is not surprising, given that housing affordability worsened during this period, as mortgage interest rates surpassed 7.0% and reached levels not seen in nearly 20 years. In the third… Read More ›
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Existing Home Sales End 2022 with Weakest Year Since 2014
As elevated mortgage rates and tight inventory continue to weaken housing demand, the volume of existing home sales declined for an eleventh consecutive month as of December, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). This is the longest run of declines since 1999. While mortgage rates have retreated in recent weeks due to recession concerns, they are likely to… Read More ›
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2022 Ends With A Decline in Single-Family Starts For the First Time Since 2011
Led by a decline in multifamily production, overall housing starts decreased 1.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.38 million units in December, according to data from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. Also of note, single-family housing starts ended the year down more than 10%, marking the first annual decline since… Read More ›