National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Student Housing Construction Investment Holds Steady in the First Quarter of 2026
Student Housing Construction Investment Holds Steady in the First Quarter of 2026
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Private fixed investment in student dormitories edged up 0.1% in the first quarter of 2026, holding at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $3.9 billion. This modest gain marked ...
Housing’s Share of GDP Dips Below 16% for First Time Since 2019
Housing’s Share of GDP Dips Below 16% for First Time Since 2019
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Housing’s share of the economy was 15.9% in the first quarter of 2026, according to the latest estimates of GDP produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This share is ...
U.S. Economy Rebounded in the First Quarter of 2026
U.S. Economy Rebounded in the First Quarter of 2026
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Real GDP growth accelerated in the first quarter of 2026, rebounding from a weak finish at the end of 2025, as government spending recovered following a disruptive shutdown. First-quarter growth ...
Powell’s Chair Ends but He Keeps His Board Seat
Powell’s Chair Ends but He Keeps His Board Seat
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The April meeting of the Fed’s monetary policy committee featured a lot of institutional news for a month in which the Fed kept monetary policy unchanged. The outlook for the ...
Home Building Shows Signs of Stabilization with Monthly Gain in Starts
Home Building Shows Signs of Stabilization with Monthly Gain in Starts
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Housing construction activity strengthened in March, with a notable rebound in both single-family and multifamily starts, signaling improved builder activity despite ongoing headwinds from financing costs and affordability constraints. While ...
Homeownership Rate Edges Down to 65.3% 
Homeownership Rate Edges Down to 65.3% 
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The latest homeownership rate declined to 65.3% in the first quarter of 2026, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). While this was a modest quarterly decrease, the broader ...
The Silver Tsunami Isn’t Landing Where It’s Needed Most
The Silver Tsunami Isn’t Landing Where It’s Needed Most
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The “silver tsunami” refers to the wave of housing inventory expected as older homeowners downsize or transition out of their homes. According to the latest American Community Survey, there are ...
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Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 38 states and the District of Columbia in June compared to the previous month, while 12 states lost jobs. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in June, following a gain of...

Existing home sales in June fell to the lowest level since January as limited inventory and fluctuating mortgage rates continued to weight on homebuyers, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Low resale inventory and strong demand pushed existing home prices to the highest...

Single-family production fell back after four straight monthly gains as elevated construction costs and rising mortgage rates led to a reduction in home building activity and affordability conditions worsened for home buyers. Overall housing in June decreased 8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of...

Low existing inventory that is keeping demand solid for new homes helped to push builder confidence up in July even as the industry continues to grapple with rising mortgage rates, elevated construction costs and limited lot availability. Builder confidence in the market for newly built...

While US homeownership rates have been rising since 2015 and received an extra boost during the post-pandemic housing boom, they remain below the levels reached during the housing boom of the mid-2000s. With the national trends reflecting fundamental drivers of homeowners, local markets often tell...

Over the first five months of 2023, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 357,143. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is 24.7% below the May 2022 level of 473,997. Year-to-date ending in May, single-family permits declined in all four regions....

Job gains slowed in June, but the labor market remained solid. Total payroll employment rose by 209,000 and the unemployment rate decreased to 3.6%. In June, wages grew at a 4.4% year-over-year growth rate, down 1.1 percentage points from a 5.5% gain in May 2022....

Average hourly earnings for residential building workers* rose at a slower pace in May, after more than a year of strong gains. Wage growth has retreated below or close to 3%, from the peak rate of 2021. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)...

According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the price level of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) was unchanged in June 2023 (not seasonally adjusted). March 2023 was the last month prices increased. The index has gained 0.5%, year-to-date, and has...

The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) for the second quarter of 2023 posted a reading of 68, edging down 2 points from the first quarter of 2023. Even though the Fed has maintained a hawkish position when it comes to interest rates as inflation...

Per the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) survey through the week ending July 7th, total mortgage activity increased 0.9% from the previous week and the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) rate rose 22 basis points to 7.07%. The FRM rate has risen 30 basis points over...

Consumer prices in June saw a continued deceleration, with the smallest year-over-year gain since March 2021. Over the past twelve months, inflation has been consistently decelerating. Despite a slowdown compared to the previous month, the shelter index (housing inflation) continued to be the largest contributor...

Consumer credit outstanding growth slowed to a 30-month low of 1.8% in May 2023 (SAAR) according to the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report, as revolving and nonrevolving debt grew at 8.2% and -0.4%, respectively. Credit growth for March and April—each of which were...

Data obtained from the US Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC) and tabulated by NAHB, show that the rising trend of two or more stories homes continued in 2022. Although the overall share remained virtually unchanged, the share of two or more stories homes started...

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia in the first quarter of 2023. According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the percent change in real GDP increased ranged from 12.4 percent in North Dakota to...

The count of open, unfilled jobs for the overall economy moved lower in May, falling to 9.8 million. While ongoing tight labor market conditions have likely confirmed one to two more Fed rate hikes through the start of the Fall, the JOLTS survey is another...

After two consecutive monthly declines, existing home sales saw a modest increase in May as mortgage rates were relatively steady in April, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). However, elevated mortgage rates and limited inventory continued to weight on homebuyers. Low resale inventory...

Consumer confidence in June rose to its highest level in 17 months as recession concerns eased. However, spending plans were mixed. Vacation intentions continued to improve, while the intention to buy homes and big-ticket appliances cooled further due to elevated mortgage rates. This shift in...

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