Eye On Housing
Author Archives
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Property Tax Revenue Climbs as Income Tax Receipts Decline Sharply
NAHB analysis of the Census Bureau’s quarterly state and local tax data shows that $132 billion in taxes were paid by property owners in the second quarter of 2023 (not seasonally adjusted).[1] In the four quarters ending Q2 2023, state and local governments collected $727 billion of property tax revenue—a 7.4% increase over Q2 2022. The year-over-year growth rate of… Read More ›
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Building Materials Prices Remain Stable but Diesel Skyrockets 40% in August
According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the price level of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) ticked up 0.1% in August (not seasonally adjusted). Prices have also increased 0.2% over the past 12 months as year-over-year price growth has slowed from 4.9% in January 2023 and 14.7% in August 2022. The 12-month increase is the smallest… Read More ›
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Revolving Credit Growth Reaccelerates in July
Consumer credit outstanding growth slowed to 2.5% in July, down from 3.4% in July (SAAR) according to the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report. Revolving credit growth reaccelerated to 9.2% in July, potentially reflecting strong consumer sentiment and job security in a tight—albeit cooling—labor market. In contrast, nonrevolving consumer debt outstanding inched up just 0.2% over the month. Total… Read More ›
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Price Growth of Key Building Materials Moderates Further
According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the price level of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) edged up 0.2% in July (not seasonally adjusted). Building materials price growth has slowed considerably in 2023 with an average monthly increase of 0.2%–down from 0.7% in 2022 and 1.5% in 2021. Not since prior to the COVID-19 pandemic has… Read More ›
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Consumer Debt Growth Slows as Inflation Cools and Lending Standards Tighten
Consumer credit outstanding growth slowed to 4.0% in the second quarter 2023 (SAAR) according to the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report, as revolving and nonrevolving debt grew at 7.1% and 3.0%, respectively. Revolving credit growth has decelerated as of late, a result of both cooling inflation and increasingly tight lending standards. Total consumer credit outstanding stands at $5.0 trillion… Read More ›
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Lending Standards Tighten Further as Banks Expect More to Come
According to the Federal Reserve Board’s July 2023 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS)—conducted for bank lending activity over the second quarter of 2023—banks reported that lending standards tightened for all residential real estate (RRE) and commercial real estate (CRE) loan categories. Demand for RRE and CRE loans weakened across all categories over the quarter. Moreover, banks expect their lending… Read More ›
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New Home Sales Increasingly Backed by FHA Loans
NAHB analysis of the most recent Quarterly Sales by Price and Financing report reveals that the share of new home sales backed by FHA loans climbed from 12.1% (revised) to 14.0% in the second quarter of 2023. It is the largest share since Q1 2021 but roughly three percentage points lower than the post-Great Recession average. Conventional loans financed 73.7%… Read More ›
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Slowing Building Material Price Growth Another Signal Inflation Is Cooling
According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the price level of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) was unchanged in June 2023 (not seasonally adjusted). March 2023 was the last month prices increased. The index has gained 0.5%, year-to-date, and has not increased 1% or greater in any month since March 2022. The Producer Price Index… Read More ›
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Consumer Credit Growth Slows to 30-Month Low
Consumer credit outstanding growth slowed to a 30-month low of 1.8% in May 2023 (SAAR) according to the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report, as revolving and nonrevolving debt grew at 8.2% and -0.4%, respectively. Credit growth for March and April—each of which were initially reported at 5.7%–were revised down to 4.8% and 5.0%, respectively. Total consumer credit outstanding… Read More ›
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Property Tax Revenue Is Catching Up to Home Values…and Quickly
NAHB analysis of the Census Bureau’s quarterly state and local tax data shows that $174 billion in taxes were paid by property owners in the first quarter of 2023 (not seasonally adjusted).[1] In the four quarters ending Q1 2023, state and local governments collected $714 billion of property tax revenue. The year-over-year growth rate of property tax collections is more… Read More ›