Tag Archive for ‘economics’

AD&C Lending Conditions Ease in the Third Quarter

According to an NAHB industry survey, lending conditions for acquisition, development and construction loans continued to ease during the third quarter. In the third quarter of 2014, the overall net tightening index based on the AD&C survey improved (i.e., declined) from -22.7 to -31.0. The index is constructed so negative numbers indicate easing of credit; positive tightening, so a lower… Read More ›

A Degree of Separation

Spurred by improved personal finances and a favorable outlook for employment, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased for the fourth consecutive month in November and reached its highest level since July 2007. However, the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index retreated in November, based on reduced optimism in business conditions and the job market. The Consumer Sentiment Index… Read More ›

October New Home Sales

New home sales posted a slight gain in October after downward revisions for prior months, according to data released by the Census Bureau and HUD. Sales of new single-family homes were up 0.7% over a downwardly revised pace for September. The October seasonally adjusted annual sales rate came in at 458,000.  This is 1.8% higher than the October 2013 sales… Read More ›

Pending Sales Trend Down

Although pending home sales decreased 1.1% in October, the index was up from the previous year. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), decreased to 104.1 in October, down from an upwardly revised 105.3 in September. The October index was up 2.2% from the same month… Read More ›

GDP Growth in the Third Quarter – Momentum? Revised Up To Probably

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its second estimate of real GDP growth for the third quarter. Growth in economic output was revised upward to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.9% from 3.5% in the advance estimate. The pace was 4.6% in the second quarter. Upward revisions to investment, both fixed and inventory, and personal consumption expenditures were… Read More ›

Interest Rates Remain Stable on New Home Loans

Earlier today, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) reported a 5 basis point increase in mortgage interest rates for the month of October.  However, the increase was due entirely to loans on existing homes.  The effective interest rate on conventional loans used to purchase newly built homes, meanwhile, remained unchanged. In fact, the average contract rate on the new home loans actually inched… Read More ›

Townhouse Market Growing

Total townhouse construction was up on a year-over-year basis during the third quarter of 2014. According to NAHB analysis of Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, single-family attached starts totaled 20,000 for the quarter, 17% higher than a year prior. Over the last four quarters, townhouse construction starts totaled 70,000, up slightly from 69,000 from the four quarters prior… Read More ›

Single-Family Built-for-Rent Market Share Closer to Historical Levels

Single-family starts built-for-rent held steady at 6,000 starts for the third quarter of 2014. While the market share of built-for-rent single-family homes remains somewhat elevated, the share and count of starts are off post-recession highs and will approach historical norms as the housing market continues to recover. According to data from the Census Bureau’s Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis,… Read More ›

Multifamily Market Sentiment Off Recent Peak

NAHB’s Multifamily Production Index (MPI) reached 54 in the third quarter, four points below the previous quarter’s reading. This is the 11th consecutive quarter with a reading of 50 or above. The MPI measures builder and developer sentiment about current conditions in the apartment and condominium market on a scale of 0 to 100. The index and all of its… Read More ›