National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Residential Construction Employment Concentrated in Rural and Smaller-Market Counties
Residential Construction Employment Concentrated in Rural and Smaller-Market Counties
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Residential construction employment continued to soften in recent months, reflecting elevated interest rates, ongoing affordability challenges, and slower home building activity. Over the last 12 months, residential construction employment has ...
Top Ten Builder Market Share Falls in 2025
Top Ten Builder Market Share Falls in 2025
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The top ten builders accounted for 43.6% of all new U.S. single-family home closings in 2025, down 1.2 percentage points from 2024 (44.8%), based on BUILDER magazine data. The 2025 ...
Mortgage Rates Increased in June as Markets Weigh Inflation and Fed Policy
Mortgage Rates Increased in June as Markets Weigh Inflation and Fed Policy
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Mortgage rates continued to increase in June as markets priced in a rate hike due to high inflation and stronger-than-expected labor market. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage ...
U.S. Economy Adds 57,000 Jobs in June
U.S. Economy Adds 57,000 Jobs in June
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The U.S. labor market lost momentum in June, with total nonfarm payroll employment rising by just 57,000, the smallest gain since February’s outright decline. Downward revisions to April and May ...
Residential Construction Spending Increases in May Due to Remodeling
Residential Construction Spending Increases in May Due to Remodeling
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Private residential construction spending rose modestly in May 2026, marking the third consecutive month of gains, albeit at a slower pace. According to the latest construction spending data from the ...
Consumer Confidence Inched Up in June
Consumer Confidence Inched Up in June
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Consumer confidence inched up in June due to improved views of business conditions and recent declines in oil prices easing inflation fears. However, the consumers’ view of the labor market ...
Construction Job Openings Increase
Construction Job Openings Increase
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The number of open positions in the construction sector increased in May, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The current level of open jobs ...
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NAHB analysis of Census Construction Spending data shows that private residential construction spending rose 0.9% in June after an increase of 2.9% in May. Spending stood at a seasonally adjusted annual pace of $856.3 billion. However, total private residential construction spending is still 10.4%% lower...

The count of open, unfilled jobs for the overall economy continued to moved lower in June, falling to 9.6 million. While ongoing tight labor market conditions have raised the likelihood of a September Federal Reserve interest rate increase, the JOLTS survey is another data point...

Despite lower perceptions of affordability, the share of prospective home buyers who are actively engaged in the purchase process (i.e., have moved beyond the planning phase) remained essentially unchanged between the first and second quarters of 2023, at 56% and 55%, respectively. The lack of...

Housing’s share of the economy remained at 15.8% at the end of the second quarter of 2023. Overall GDP increased at a 2.4% annual rate, following a 2.0% increase in the first quarter of 2023 and 2.6% increase in the fourth quarter of 2022. Despite...

The most recent data release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) showed that personal income increased 0.3% in June. The pace of personal income growth slowed after reaching a 0.7% monthly gain in January 2023. Gains in personal income are largely driven by increases...

After a reprieve in the first quarter of 2023, buyers’ outlook for housing affordability turned bleaker again in the second quarter.  According to the latest Housing Trends Report, 76% of buyers are able to afford less than half the homes for-sale in their markets, up...

The U.S. economy grew at a solid pace in the second quarter of 2023, fueled by consumer and government spending. The second quarter data from the GDP report suggests that inflation is cooling. The GDP price index rose 2.2% for the second quarter, down from...

Increased levels of new home construction and sales are leading some buyers to expect the home search to get easier in the months ahead.  According to the latest Housing Trends Report for the second quarter of 2023, 29% of prospective buyers are anticipating housing availability...

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee increased the federal funds rate to a top target of 5.5% at the conclusion of its July meeting. The Fed will also continue to reduce its balance sheet holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities as part of quantitative tightening....

Rising mortgage rates and elevated construction costs put a damper on new home sales last month. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau estimated sales of newly built, single-family homes in June at a 697,000 seasonally adjusted annual pace,...

Higher interest rates have led millions of existing homeowners with mortgages under 4% to postpone plans to list their homes for sale, and for many prospective buyers, that supply vacuum has left newly built homes as the only game in town.  That is the backdrop...

Mortgage rates’ slow –but steady– march upwards combined with the return of home price gains are doing what they are predicted to:  slow housing demand.  According to the latest Housing Trends Report, the share of adults with plans to purchase a home within a year...

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 38 states and the District of Columbia in June compared to the previous month, while 12 states lost jobs. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in June, following a gain of...

Existing home sales in June fell to the lowest level since January as limited inventory and fluctuating mortgage rates continued to weight on homebuyers, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Low resale inventory and strong demand pushed existing home prices to the highest...

Single-family production fell back after four straight monthly gains as elevated construction costs and rising mortgage rates led to a reduction in home building activity and affordability conditions worsened for home buyers. Overall housing in June decreased 8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of...

Low existing inventory that is keeping demand solid for new homes helped to push builder confidence up in July even as the industry continues to grapple with rising mortgage rates, elevated construction costs and limited lot availability. Builder confidence in the market for newly built...

While US homeownership rates have been rising since 2015 and received an extra boost during the post-pandemic housing boom, they remain below the levels reached during the housing boom of the mid-2000s. With the national trends reflecting fundamental drivers of homeowners, local markets often tell...

Over the first five months of 2023, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 357,143. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is 24.7% below the May 2022 level of 473,997. Year-to-date ending in May, single-family permits declined in all four regions....

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