National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

The Silver Tsunami Isn’t Landing Where It’s Needed Most
The Silver Tsunami Isn’t Landing Where It’s Needed Most
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The “silver tsunami” refers to the wave of housing inventory expected as older homeowners downsize or transition out of their homes. According to the latest American Community Survey, there are ...
State-Level Employment Situation: February 2026
State-Level Employment Situation: February 2026
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February’s labor market data point to a notable pullback in employment, with job losses concentrated across a majority of states and only modest gains elsewhere. While January showed solid momentum, ...
Population Growth and Housing Supply Dynamics at the County Level in 2025
Population Growth and Housing Supply Dynamics at the County Level in 2025
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U.S. population growth slowed notably in the latest Vintage 2025 population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau, with the nation expanding by just 0.5% in 20251, roughly half the pace ...
Construction Workforce Shifts: Fewer Tradesmen, More White-Collar Jobs
Construction Workforce Shifts: Fewer Tradesmen, More White-Collar Jobs
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The long-running shift in the construction labor force away from construction trades and toward management, business, and technical roles is ongoing and gaining momentum, according to NAHB’s analysis of the ...
Count of Second Homes Declines in 2024
Count of Second Homes Declines in 2024
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In 2024, the number of second homes in the U.S. was 6.2 million, accounting for 4.3% of the nation’s housing stock, according to NAHB estimates. This reflects a modest decline ...
Young Adults Report More Interest in the Construction Trades: 2026 Survey
Young Adults Report More Interest in the Construction Trades: 2026 Survey
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NAHB estimates the U.S. has a structural housing deficit of 1.2 million units. Among the myriad of headwinds home builders face trying to close that gap is the industry’s chronic ...
Builder Sentiment Posts Notable Decline on Economic Uncertainty
Builder Sentiment Posts Notable Decline on Economic Uncertainty
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Economic uncertainty coupled with rising building material costs and interest rates resulted in a sharp decline in builder sentiment in April as the housing market enters into the heart of ...
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The failure of several banks in 2023 and the ensuing stress in U.S. financial markets have had an effect that some builders and developers are beginning to notice, according to two recent NAHB surveys. In one of the surveys, roughly three-in-five builders and developers reported...

In a previous blog post, NAHB analyzed the national data released by BUILDER Magazine. Earlier this month, BUILDER Magazine also released Local Leaders data on the top 10 builders in the top 50 largest new-home markets in the U.S. (ranking determined by the number of...

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 39 states and the District of Columbia in May compared to the previous month, while 11 states lost jobs. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 339,000 in May, following a gain of...

The Top 10 builders captured 43.2% of new single-family home closings (i.e., sales) in 2022, the highest percentage on record based on data released by BUILDER Magazine; this is a 9 percentage point increase from 2021, the largest year-over-year increase since NAHB’s tracking began in...

Limited existing inventory combined with solid demand and improving supply chains helped push single-family starts to an 11-month high in May. This occurred despite elevated interest rates and ongoing challenges for housing affordability. Overall housing starts in May increased 21.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual...

Solid demand, a lack of existing inventory and improving supply chain efficiency helped shift builder confidence into positive territory for the first time in 11 months. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes in June rose five points to 55, according to...

Over the first four months of 2023, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 268,205. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is 29.0% below the April 2022 level of 377,713. Year-to-date ending in April, single-family permits declined in all four regions....

According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the prices of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) decreased 0.1% in May 2023 (not seasonally adjusted), following a 0.2% drop in April. The index has gained 0.3%, year-to-date, a stark contrast from the...

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee maintained the federal funds rate at a top target rate of 5.25% at the conclusion of its June meeting. The Fed will also continue to reduce its balance sheet holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. Despite the June pause,...

Per the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) survey through the week ending June 9th, total mortgage activity increased 7.2% from the previous week and the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) rate fell five basis points to 6.77%. The FRM rate has risen 20 basis points over...

Consumer prices in May saw the smallest year-over-year gain since March 2021, mainly driven by lower energy prices. This marked the eleventh consecutive month of deceleration. While this measure aligned with expectations, core inflation remained persistent due to the increase in rent prices. The shelter...

The first quarter of 2023 release of the Z.1 Financial Accounts of the United States shows for a third consecutive quarter the value of households’ real estate assets contracted. The combination of economic uncertainty and declining home prices has played a role over the past...

Consumer credit outstanding grew at a seasonal adjusted annual rate of 5.7% in April 2023 per the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report, as revolving and nonrevolving debt grew at 13.1% and 3.2%, respectively (SAAR). Total consumer credit outstanding stands at $4.8 trillion (not...

Obtaining lots to build on remains a challenge for many of NAHB’s builders, although the shortages are not quite as widespread as they were in 2021. Responding to special questions on the May 2023 survey for the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), 42 percent...

Solid nominal wage gains (unadjusted for inflation) combined with lower mortgage rates and home prices helped to boost housing affordability in the first quarter of 2023, but ongoing building material supply chain issues and expected cooling of wage growth signal ongoing concerns for affordability conditions...

The latest labor force statistics from the 2021 American Community Survey show that the construction industry continues to struggle to attract younger workers. While workers under the age of 25 comprised 13.6% of the US labor force, their share in the construction industry reached only...

While single-family home building has slowed significantly from pandemic-fueled highs because of higher interest rates and construction costs, the slowdown is less pronounced in lower density markets. On the other hand, multifamily market growth remained strong throughout much of the nation, according to the latest...

NAHB analysis of the most recent 2021 American Community Survey (ACS) data reveals that the median age of construction workers is 42, one year older than a typical worker in the national labor force. Attracting skilled labor is still the primary long-term goal for construction,...

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