National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Multifamily Gains Lift Overall Starts Despite Single-Family Decline
Multifamily Gains Lift Overall Starts Despite Single-Family Decline
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Strong multifamily growth pushed overall housing starts higher in June, while single-family production remained sluggish as elevated mortgage rates, rising construction costs and persistent labor shortages continued to weigh on ...
Builder Sentiment Stays Weak as Affordability Concerns Persist
Builder Sentiment Stays Weak as Affordability Concerns Persist
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Economic uncertainty and persistent affordability challenges driven by rising material prices, high land costs, and elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on builder sentiment. Builder confidence in the market for ...
Building Material Prices Continue to Rise Despite Energy Price Declines
Building Material Prices Continue to Rise Despite Energy Price Declines
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Residential building material prices, excluding energy, rose 0.5% in June and were up 4.6% from a year ago. Lower energy prices were apparent in June, as energy input prices fell ...
Single-Family Permitting Continued to Weaken Through May
Single-Family Permitting Continued to Weaken Through May
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State-level permitting activity continued to reflect a divided housing market through the first five months of 2026. Elevated mortgage rates and ongoing affordability challenges continued to weigh on single-family construction ...
Inflation Cooled in June as Gas Prices Eased
Inflation Cooled in June as Gas Prices Eased
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Inflation slowed to 3.5% in June from a three-year high last month, driven by a mid-June ceasefire agreement that stabilized oil markets and lowered energy prices. The decline in energy ...
Two or More Story Home Starts Pull Back in 2025
Two or More Story Home Starts Pull Back in 2025
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Over half of new single-family homes built in 2025 were two or more stories, according to the recent release of the Census Bureau’s Survey of Construction (SOC). After increasing in ...
2025 New Single-Family Starts by Census Division
2025 New Single-Family Starts by Census Division
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Persistently high mortgage rates, elevated costs for builders, and ongoing supply-side constraints continued to weigh on single-family construction in 2025. According to the NAHB analysis of the 2025 Survey of ...
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Despite mortgage rates that are at a 23-year high, new home sales posted a double-digit percentage gain in September because of a lack of inventory in the resale market. The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau estimated sales of...

Despite mortgage rates topping 7%, Americans persist in their desire to buy a home.  According to the latest Housing Trends Report*, the share of adults with plans to purchase a home within a year edged up to 17% in the third quarter of 2023, up...

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 40 states and the District of Columbia in September compared to the previous month, while nine states lost jobs. Wyoming reported no change. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 336,000 in September,...

Arizona’s population growth increased for the second consecutive year after falling during 2020. The population growth rate was 1.30% between 2021 and 2022 with the population increasing by 94,320 persons, the 8th fastest growth rate and 5th largest nominal increase in the U.S. between the...

Existing home sales in September fell to lowest level since October 2010 as limited inventory and higher mortgage rates continued to weigh on homebuyers, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Low resale inventory and strong demand continued to drive up existing home prices,...

Despite elevated mortgage rates averaging above 7%, single-family starts posted a solid gain in September as more buyers are turning to new homes because of a dearth of inventory in the resale market. Overall housing starts increased 7% in September to a seasonally adjusted annual...

Stubbornly high mortgage rates that have climbed to a 23-year high and have remained above 7% for the past two months continue to take a heavy toll on builder confidence, as sentiment levels have dropped to the lowest point since January 2023. Builder confidence in...

Over the first eight months of 2023, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 615,453. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is 15.6% below the August 2022 level of 728,866. Year-to-date ending in August, single-family permits declined in all four regions....

According to the latest Producer Price Index report, the price level of inputs to residential construction less energy (i.e., building materials) was unchanged in September (not seasonally adjusted) after climbing 0.4% in August. Prices have increased 0.8%, year-to-date, the smallest YTD gain through September since...

Consumer prices in September remained stable, with housing and gasoline cost continuing to be key drivers. Despite the slight annual slowdown, shelter costs remain elevated, accounting for over 70% of the total increase in all items excluding food and energy. The Fed’s ability to address...

The NAHB/Westlake Royal Remodeling Market Index (RMI) for the third quarter of 2023 posted a reading of 65, edging down 3 points from the previous quarter. While there is still demand for remodeling, some customers are pulling back on potential projects due to higher prices...

Per the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) survey through the week ending October 6th, total mortgage activity increased 0.6% from the previous week and the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) rate rose 14 basis points to 7.67%. The FRM rate has increased 40 basis points over...

In a new study, NAHB uses the 2021 American Housing Survey (AHS) to investigate the characteristics of recent home buyers, defined as households who purchased homes in the two years preceding the date the 2021 AHS was conducted. According to this criterion, roughly 10.2 million...

According to the Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit report, total consumer credit outstanding totaled $4.97 trillion (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in August, a decrease of $15.6 billion over the month but $188.8 billion—or 3.9%–higher than August 2022. The monthly decline resulted from a 0.8%...

After more than a year of strong gains, average hourly earnings for residential building workers* increased at a relatively slower pace in the past few months. Wage growth has retreated below 3%, from the peak rate of 8% in 2021. According to the Bureau of...

Job growth remained solid in September as the Fed fights against inflation. In fact, the recent jobs data has been stronger than most economists expected and is a reminder that GDP growth for the third quarter will be very strong and inflation risks persist. Total...

NAHB analysis of the 2022 American Community Survey data shows that New Jersey leads the nation with the highest average annual real estate tax (RET) bill ($9,285)—$8,425 more than yearly property taxes paid by Alabama’s homeowners ($860). The size of this disparity grew 1.1% in...

The share of homes with patios edged up to another record high last year. Of the roughly one million single-family homes started in 2022, 63.3% percent came with patios—up from 63.0% in 2021, and the seventh consecutive year of setting a new record. The source...

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