National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Mostly Unchanged Demand, Lending Conditions for Residential Mortgages in First Quarter
Mostly Unchanged Demand, Lending Conditions for Residential Mortgages in First Quarter
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Lending standards and demand for most types of residential mortgages were essentially in the first quarter of 2026, according to the recent release of the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS). ...
Residential Construction Input Prices Move Higher In April
Residential Construction Input Prices Move Higher In April
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Prices rose across a host of goods and services used in residential construction. Rising energy prices were the primary driver, but transportation service prices also rose at their fastest pace ...
Delinquencies Holds Steady in First Quarter of 2026
Delinquencies Holds Steady in First Quarter of 2026
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Consumer loan delinquency rates continued to normalize in the first quarter of 2026 as pandemic-related disruptions diminished and credit conditions moved closer to historical norms.  According to the latest Quarterly ...
Inflation Outpaced Wage Growth in April
Inflation Outpaced Wage Growth in April
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Inflation accelerated to a nearly three-year high in April, driven by continued increases in energy costs from the Iran war. Energy costs drove more than 40% of the monthly increase, ...
Consumer Credit Accelerated in Q1 2026
Consumer Credit Accelerated in Q1 2026
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In the first quarter of 2026, consumer credit grew at a slightly faster pace than in years prior amid positive yet sluggish economic growth and rising inflation pressure. According to ...
Existing Home Sales Edged Up Slightly in April
Existing Home Sales Edged Up Slightly in April
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Existing home sales edged up in April after reaching a nine-month low in March, but sales remained at historically low levels. Elevated mortgage rates and reignited inflation driven by the ...
Residential Building Worker Wages Remain Soft in Early 2026 Amid Slower Housing Activity
Residential Building Worker Wages Remain Soft in Early 2026 Amid Slower Housing Activity
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Wage growth for residential building workers remained subdued during the first quarter of 2026, reflecting continued softness in housing construction activity and easing labor demand. According to the latest data ...
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According to the latest 2022 ACS, 11.2 million people, including self-employed workers, worked in construction in 2022. NAHB estimates that out of this total, 4.7 million people worked in residential construction, accounting for 2.9% of the US employed civilian labor force. Home building in the...

The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index (HPI) increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.65% for March.  This was following an adjusted 6.42% rate gain for February. On a year-over-year basis, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index...

The desirability of new homes continues to grow. Faced with the alternative of choosing between an existing home and a newly built home, 61% of home buyers in a recent NAHB study* indicated a new home is their first preference. That marks the highest share...

Mortgage rates have increased on a monthly basis, according to data from Freddie Mac. As of end of April 2024, the 30-year FRM – Commitment rate, increased by 17 basis points (bps) to 6.99 percent from 6.82 percent in March. This was a 35 bps...

Mortgage rates that averaged above 7% since mid-April per Freddie Mac data acted as a drag on new home sales last month. Sales of newly built, single-family homes in April fell 4.7% to a 634,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate from a downwardly revised reading in...

A new quarterly Cost of Housing Index (CHI) highlights the burden that housing costs represent for middle and low-income families. In its inaugural release for the first quarter of 2024, CHI revealed that a typical family in the U.S. must spend 38% of its income...

The missing middle construction sector includes development of medium-density housing, such as townhouses, duplexes and other small multifamily properties. The multifamily segment of the missing middle (apartments in 2- to 4-unit properties) has disappointed since the Great Recession. For the first quarter of 2024, there were just...

Existing home sales fell for the second straight month in April, after a big monthly drop in March, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Meanwhile, low resale inventory and strong demand continued to drive up existing home prices, marking the tenth consecutive month...

An expected impact of the virus crisis was a need for more residential space, as people use homes for more purposes including work. Home size correspondingly increased in 2021 as interest rates reached historic lows. However, as interest rates increased in 2022 and 2023, and...

NAHB’s analysis of Census Data from the Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design survey indicates a slowing market for custom home building after a recent gain in market share. The subsector’s greater reliance on cash buyers has not shielded it from recent market...

Close to 23% (or over 2.5 million) of workers employed in construction are self-employed, according to the 2022 American Community Survey (ACS). As industry payrolls expanded in 2022, the share of self-employed inched down. However, the share remained higher than it was in 2019, before...

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 38 states and the District of Columbia in April compared to the previous month, while 11 states saw a decrease. Alaska reported no change during this time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased...

According to NAHB analysis of quarterly Census data, the count of multifamily, for-rent housing starts declined significantly during the first quarter of 2024. For the quarter, 80,000 multifamily residences started construction. Of this total, 75,000 were built-for-rent. This marks a notable 39% decline from the...

Single-family built-for-rent construction posted year-over-year gains as of the first quarter of 2024, as builders sought to add additional rental housing in a market facing ongoing, elevated mortgage interest rates. According to NAHB’s analysis of data from the Census Bureau’s Quarterly Starts and Completions by...

Year-over-year gains for townhouse construction continued at the start of 2024 as demand for medium-density housing continues to be strong. According to NAHB analysis of the most recent Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, during the first quarter of 2024, single-family...

Single-family starts remained flat in April as mortgage interest rates moved above 7% last month and builders continued to face tight lending conditions. Overall housing starts increased 5.7% in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.36 million units, according to a report from...

Both overall and core inflation eased slightly in April amid higher costs for gasoline and shelter. On a year-over-year (YOY) basis, the shelter index rose by 5.5% in April, following a 5.7% increase in March. Despite a slowdown in the YOY increase, shelter costs continue...

With mortgage rates averaging above 7% for the past four weeks per data from Freddie Mac, builder sentiment posted its first decline since November 2023. Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes was 45 in May, down six points from April, according...

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