National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Acquisitions Increasing Among Home Builders
Acquisitions Increasing Among Home Builders
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At the start of 2026, most home builders predicted that high mortgage rates and hesitancy among buyers would be their toughest challenges this year. They weren’t wrong: the 30-year mortgage ...
What Do Home Buyers Purchase After They Move In
What Do Home Buyers Purchase After They Move In
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Buying a home typically generates a wave of consumer spending beyond the purchase of the home itself. Following a home purchase, households often buy appliances and furnishings and undertake remodeling ...
State-Level Employment Situation: June 2026
State-Level Employment Situation: June 2026
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State labor market conditions softened in June as hiring slowed across much of the country. While a majority of states recorded payroll employment gains during the month, national job growth ...
Shrinking Lots: Trend Levels Off as Smaller Lots Remain the Norm
Shrinking Lots: Trend Levels Off as Smaller Lots Remain the Norm
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The long-term shift toward building single-family detached homes on smaller lots appears to have stabilized. According to the latest Survey of Construction (SOC), the share of new homes built on ...
Exterior Material Trends in Single-Family Homes
Exterior Material Trends in Single-Family Homes
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Vinyl siding was the most used principle exterior wall material for homes started construction in 2025. This material held just over a quarter share of homes, surpassing stucco for the ...
Multifamily Gains Lift Overall Starts Despite Single-Family Decline
Multifamily Gains Lift Overall Starts Despite Single-Family Decline
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Strong multifamily growth pushed overall housing starts higher in June, while single-family production remained sluggish as elevated mortgage rates, rising construction costs and persistent labor shortages continued to weigh on ...
Builder Sentiment Stays Weak as Affordability Concerns Persist
Builder Sentiment Stays Weak as Affordability Concerns Persist
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Economic uncertainty and persistent affordability challenges driven by rising material prices, high land costs, and elevated mortgage rates continue to weigh on builder sentiment. Builder confidence in the market for ...
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Lending standards for residential mortgages were essentially unchanged across most categories, while overall demand for most residential mortgages was weaker according to the Federal Reserve Board’s January 2025 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS).  Examining lending conditions for commercial real estate (CRE) loans, construction & development loans...

Total outstanding U.S. consumer credit stood at $5.15 trillion for the fourth quarter of 2024, increasing at an annualized rate of 4.22% (seasonally adjusted), according to the Federal Reserve’s G.19 Consumer Credit Report. This is an uptick from the third quarter of 2024’s rate of...

U.S. job growth slowed in January amid Southern California wildfires and severe winter weather across much of the country. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0%. This month’s data indicates that the labor market is slowing at the start of 2025 but remains healthy....

The most significant challenge builders faced in 2024 was high interest rates, as reported by 91% of builders in the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index survey.  A smaller, albeit still significant share of 78% expect interest rates to remain a problem in 2025. The next...

The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) weekly survey, increased by 3.1% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis, primarily driven by purchasing activity. Compared to January last year, the index is higher by 3.4%....

The homeownership rate for those under the age of 35 dropped to 36.3% in the last quarter of 2024, reaching the lowest level since the third quarter of 2019, according to the Census’s Housing Vacancy Survey (HVS). Amidst elevated mortgage interest rates and tight housing...

After a period of slowing associated with declines for some elements of the residential construction industry, the count of open construction sector jobs remained lower than a year ago, per the December Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The number...

Private fixed investment in student dormitories edged down by 1.3% in the fourth quarter of 2024, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $3.86 billion. This decline follows a 1.9% increase in the prior quarter. However, private fixed investment in dorms was 7.2% lower...

Private residential construction spending increased by 1.5% in December 2024, according to the latest U.S. Census Construction Spending data. It was the third consecutive monthly increase since September 2024.  On a year-over-year basis, the December report showed a 6% increase. The monthly increase in total...

In the home building industry, fringe benefits add an additional 18% to employees’ compensation on top of payroll, according to NAHB’s analysis of the latest 2022 Economic Census data. The rates vary across residential construction sub-sectors with single-family and multifamily general contractors contributing an average...

Personal income increased by 0.4% in December, following a 0.3% rise in November and a 0.7% gain in October, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The gains in personal income were largely driven by higher wages and salaries. However, the...

Mortgage rates edged higher in January, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage reaching 6.96%. Rates had been climbing steadily since mid-December—even surpassing 7%—before easing in recent weeks as the bond market stabilized following news that President Donald Trump postponed tariffs plans to February 1. According...

Real GDP growth slowed in the fourth quarter of 2024, but the economy finished the year at a solid rate. While consumer spending continued to drive growth, gross private domestic investment detracted over a full percentage point mainly due to a decline in private inventories....

Housing’s share of the economy remained unchanged at 16.2% in the fourth quarter of 2024, according to the advance estimate of GDP produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. For the year, housing’s share of the economy was 16.2%, up from 16.0% in 2023 and...

In a widely anticipated announcement, the Federal Reserve paused on rate cuts at the conclusion of its January meeting, holding the federal funds rate in the 4.25% to 4.5% range. The Fed will continue to reduce its balance sheet, including holdings of mortgage-backed securities. The...

Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 42 states and the District of Columbia in December compared to the previous month, while it decreased in seven states. Wyoming reported no change during this time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased...

On a year-over-year basis, home prices grew at a rate of 3.75% for November, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (NSA). This marks an increase from the 3.59% growth rate recorded in October but is down from a peak of 6.54% in...

A limited amount of existing inventory along with solid demand helped new home sales end the year on an up note, even as buyers continue to grapple with housing affordability challenges. Sales of newly built, single-family homes in December increased 3.6% to a 698,000 seasonally...

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