Eye On Housing
Author Archives
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Millennial Housing Demand and Regional Building Trends: 3Q19 HBGI
Supply and resulting affordability challenges for millennials were highlighted in the most recent NAHB Home Building Geography Index (HBGI). The third quarter HBGI also offers more region-specific insights of single- and multifamily home building trends, including their connections to millennial-intensive areas. Single-family home building in rural areas posted a solid growth rate of 1.1% for the third quarter of 2019,… Read More ›
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Mortgage Application Volume Declines
In the latest tally of mortgage activity, for the week ending November 29, 2019, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Application Survey showed a 7.5% drop from the previous week in conventional mortgage activity, which includes both purchases and refinances, on a seasonally adjusted basis. Overall, the market composite index, which includes conventional mortgages, saw a 9.2% increase on a seasonally… Read More ›
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Millennial Areas Front and Center to Housing Affordability Challenges
The third cut of NAHB’s Home Building Geography Index (HBGI) defines “Millennial counties” as those having at least a 26% share of total population belonging to the Millennial generation (born between 1981-1997). The top 25% of counties with a high millennial concentration represent 62% of the U.S. population. These counties also constitute 59% and 80% of single-family and multifamily construction,… Read More ›
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Multifamily Six-Year Streak of Gains Ended in 2018
For only the second year since the Great Recession, multifamily unit completions declined in 2018, according to NAHB analysis of the latest annual multifamily data from the Survey of Construction (SOC). As is typical, the number of multifamily units completed for rent exceeds the number of units completed for sale (92% rental share). In 2018, the number of units completed… Read More ›
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Fixed-Rate Mortgage Activity Shows Upswing
The Mortgage Bankers Association’s Weekly Application Survey, for the week ending November 8, 2019, showed a 5% increase in its Purchase Index and 13% increase in its Refinance Index from a week earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis. This increase occurred despite the slight increase in the 30-year fixed mortgage rate to 4.03%, thus reflecting growing optimism concerning the economy… Read More ›
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Consumer Credit Increases in Third Quarter Despite Bank Lending Tightening
The Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit Report shows rising trends in consumer credit, excluding loans secured by real estate, through September 2019. In September, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.8 percent from the previous month, with revolving debt1 decreasing by 1.2 percent and nonrevolving debt2 increasing by 4.2 percent. Consumer credit totaled $4.1 trillion… Read More ›
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Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey: Multifamily Lending Market Neutral Conditions
The Federal Reserve’s latest Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey contains the reported lending practices, as of the third quarter of 2019, of 80 large domestically chartered commercial banks and up to 24 large U.S. branches and agencies of foreign banks. The questions that comprise most of the survey are those relating to Commercial & Industrial (C&I) loans, Commercial Real Estate… Read More ›
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Nonrevolving Debt Surges
The Federal Reserve’s latest G.19 Consumer Credit Report shows rising trends in consumer credit, excluding loans secured by real estate, through August 2019. In August, consumer credit increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.3 percent from the previous month, with revolving debt1 decreasing by 2.2% and nonrevolving debt2 increasing by 7.8%. Consumer credit totaled $4.1 trillion on a… Read More ›
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Mortgage Activity Posts Solid Year-over-Year Gains
The Mortgage Bankers’ Association’s latest Weekly Application Survey, for the week ending September 27, 2019, showed sharp increases in the year-over-year gains in purchasing and refinancing activity of all mortgages, of 9.6% and 132.9%, respectively (seasonally adjusted). Throughout most of the current year since mid-March, refinancing activity on a year-over-year basis has been particularly strong this year, holding steady from… Read More ›
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Outlying Areas Show Most Home Building per Capita
When NAHB’s Home Building Geography Index (HBGI) was introduced, it allocated county single- and multifamily permits into seven regions based on population densities. These regions are representative of different types of housing markets in the United States. New work in this post offers a per capita analysis of the HBGI regionals, which corroborates earlier findings of market share and growth… Read More ›