Confidence in the market for new multifamily housing weakened year-over-year in the second quarter, according to the Multifamily Market Survey (MMS) by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). The MMS produces two separate indices. The Multifamily Production Index (MPI) had a reading of 43, down three points year-over-year, while the Multifamily Occupancy Index (MOI) had a reading of 74, down eight points year-over-year.
Multifamily developer sentiment is currently constrained by regulatory barriers and difficulty obtaining financing. The recently enacted 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act should provide some relief with respect to these challenges, but these policies will take time to implement. Meanwhile, rental housing demand is being supported by improving job growth during the second quarter of 2026. It is clear that supply-side headwinds continue to weigh on multifamily developer sentiment. In addition to relatively high interest rates and other financing issues, developers are finding it difficult to obtain approvals and utility connections in some parts of the country. High material prices and shortages of skilled labor also remain significant impediments
Multifamily Production Index (MPI)
The MMS asks multifamily developers to rate the current conditions as “good”, “fair”, or “poor” for multifamily starts in markets where they are active. The index and all its components are scaled so that a number above 50 indicates that more respondents report conditions as good rather than poor. The MPI is a weighted average of four key market segments: three in the built-for-rent market (garden/low-rise, mid/high-rise, and subsidized) and the built-for-sale (or condominium) market.
There were three components which experienced decreases year-over-year during the first quarter. The component measuring subsidized units fell seven points to 54, the component measuring mid/high-rise dropped four points to 32, and the component measuring garden/low-rise dipped two points to 48. Meanwhile, the component measuring built-for-sale units was the only one to increase year-over-year, up three points to 38.
Multifamily Occupancy Index (MOI)
The survey also asks multifamily property owners to rate the current conditions for occupancy of existing rental apartments in markets where they are active as “good”, “fair”, or “poor”. Like the MPI, the MOI and all its components are scaled so that a number above 50 indicates more respondents report that occupancy is good than poor. The MOI is a weighted average of three built-for-rent market segments (garden/low-rise, mid/high-rise, and subsidized).
Although all three components declined year-over-year, they all remained above the break-even point of 50 for the second quarter of 2026. The mid/high-rise component dropped 11 points to 62, the subsidized component decreased eight points to 82, and the garden/low-rise component fell seven points to 77.
The MMS was re-designed in 2023 to produce results that are easier to interpret and consistent with the proven format of other NAHB industry sentiment surveys. Until there is enough data to seasonally adjust the series, changes in the MMS indices should only be evaluated on a year-over-year basis.
Please visit NAHB’s MMS web page for the full report.