National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Mortgage Activity Flat in June, ARM Share Decreases

Mortgage applications stalled in June as higher mortgage rates dampened market activity. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, stayed relatively unchanged with a marginal decrease of 0.3% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis. The decline was driven by a 2.5% decline in refinancing applications, which offset a modest 0.7% gain in purchase applications. Compared with a year earlier, however, total mortgage application activity remained 7.9% higher, with refinance applications up 15.6% and purchase applications rising 3.1%. Meanwhile, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) decreased 9.4% over the month, bringing the ARM share of total applications to 8.2%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 5 basis points (bps) to 6.59% in June, as markets priced in inflation risks and the possibility of the Federal Reserve increasing rates this year. Nonetheless, the rate remained 27 bps lower than its level a year ago.

By loan type, applications for ARMs decreased 9.4%, while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) increased about 0.4% from the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, applications for FRM and ARMs were up 6.9% and 22.4%, respectively. As of June 2026, the share of ARMs applications was down 0.8 percentage points from the prior month to 8.2% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis (NSA). Compared to a year ago, ARMs share were 0.6 percentage points higher. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.8% in June.

Loan sizes decreased across most categories in June, with ARM loans being the only exception. Consequently, the overall average loan size declined 3.4% to $393,800. The average purchase and refinance loan sizes decreased 1.8% to $456,500, and 5.8% to $302,500, respectively. The average ARM loan size edged up 0.8% to $944,800.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Subscribe to Blog via Email

Email Frequency