National Association of Home Builders Economic Research Blog

Mortgage Applications Retreat in May, with ARMs Gaining Share

Mortgage application activity declined again in May as higher mortgage rates continued to suppress the market, although adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) gained some traction. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, applications fell 5.5% month-over-month in May on a seasonally adjusted basis. The decline was driven by refinance activity, which dropped 12.3% over the month, while purchase applications posted a modest 1.8% increase. Compared with a year earlier, however, total mortgage application activity remained 14.2% higher, with refinance applications up 26.4% and purchase applications rising 6.2%. Meanwhile, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) rose 3.1% over the month, nudging the ARM share of total applications up to 9.0%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 13 basis points (bps) to 6.54% in May, as conflict in Iran pushed Treasury yields higher. Nonetheless, the rate remained 36 bps lower than its level a year ago. As borrowing costs moved up, borrowers showed some renewed interest in ARMs, which can offer lower initial rates than fixed-rate loans.

By loan type, applications for ARMs increased 3.0%, while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) decreased about 6.1% from the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, applications for FRM and ARMs were up 12.4% and 38.2%, respectively. As of May 2026, ARMs applications, including both purchase and refinance loans, accounted for 9.0% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, up 0.7 percentage points from the prior month and 1.5 percentage points a year earlier. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.7% in April.

Loan sizes increased across most categories in May, with refinance loans being the main exception. Consequently, the overall average loan size edged up 2.5% to $407,600. The average purchase loan size increased 2.2% to $465,000, while the average refinance loan size declined 1.5% to $321,000. The average ARM loan size edged up, decreasing 1.9% to $937,200.

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