Eye On Housing
Consumer prices in October remained unchanged, with the increase in shelter index being offset by the decline in the gasoline index. This cooling inflation increases the probability that the Fed is done increasing rates. Despite the slowdown, shelter costs continue to be a key driver of inflation, accounting for over 70% of the total increase in all items excluding food… Read More ›
Consumer prices in September remained stable, with housing and gasoline cost continuing to be key drivers. Despite the slight annual slowdown, shelter costs remain elevated, accounting for over 70% of the total increase in all items excluding food and energy. The Fed’s ability to address rising housing costs is limited as shelter cost increases are driven by a lack of… Read More ›
Consumer prices in June saw a continued deceleration, with the smallest year-over-year gain since March 2021. Over the past twelve months, inflation has been consistently decelerating. Despite a slowdown compared to the previous month, the shelter index (housing inflation) continued to be the largest contributor to both headline and core inflation, accounting for over 70% of the increase in headline… Read More ›
Consumer prices in January saw the smallest year-over-year gain since October 2021 with a seventh consecutive month of a deceleration. However, this disinflation pace was much slower than expected, partially because new methodology introduces higher weights for shelter and lower weights for food and energy to reflect changes in consumer spending in 2021. The shelter index (housing inflation) continued to… Read More ›
Consumer prices continued to accelerate in January due to higher food, electricity and housing costs. This was the largest year-over-year gain since February 1982. This higher-than-expected inflation may push the Federal Reserve to become more aggressive and raise the federal funds rate at a faster pace. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose… Read More ›
Prices paid for OSB (-13.0%), softwood lumber (-1.0%), and inputs to residential construction (-0.1%), all decreased in December, according to the latest Producer Price Index (PPI) release by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The index for gypsum products advanced (+1.6%). Over the course of 2017, the price paid for every major input to construction NAHB tracks has increased. The following… Read More ›
Inflation in prices received by producers (prior to sales to consumers) increased 0.5% in June according to the latest Producer Price Index release by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The increase was driven by a 0.4% increase in the price of services, while the final demand index for goods rose 0.8% (the price of services is weighted roughly double the… Read More ›
A somewhat disappointing employment report capped a week of economic reports, including GDP from the Commerce Department and monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (GDP/FOMC), that point to an economy treading water. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the Employment Situation report for July. From the establishment survey, total nonfarm payrolls expanded by a lower than expected 162,000, with… Read More ›
The Employment Situation report for October released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Friday continued the recent pattern of positive but subpar gains in the labor market. The establishment survey reported payroll employment expanded by 171,000 based on an increase of 184,000 in private sector payrolls and a decline of 13,000 in the government sector. August and September estimates… Read More ›
The Employment Situation report for September released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) today surprised analysts with a 0.3 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate, from 8.1% in August to 7.8% in September. Unlike last month when the decline in the unemployment rate from 8.3% to 8.1% was attributable to a shrinking labor force, the September decline was… Read More ›