Tag Archive for ‘economics’

Federal Reserve Reduces Rates in July

Perhaps as the most telegraphed interest rate cut of recent decades, the Federal Reserve reduced the key, short-term federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a top rate of 2.25%. This policy change is good for housing and home building, which continue to face housing affordability headwinds in spite of favorable demographics. There were two dissents to the announcement,… Read More ›

Housing Share of GDP Continues to Decline

With the release of the estimate of second quarter 2019 GDP growth (2.1% growth rate), housing’s share of gross domestic product (GDP) continued a downward trend, more evidence of the the lack of housing supply caused and affected by ongoing housing affordability issues. Housing’s share of GDP fell to 14.6%. The home building and remodeling component – residential fixed investment… Read More ›

US Economic Growth Slows to 2.1% in Second Quarter

According to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.1% in the second quarter of 2019, down from a 3.1% increase in the first quarter of 2019 and above NAHB’s forecast of 1.6%. It is the 21st consecutive quarter of growth. Today’s release also reflected… Read More ›

Housing Affordability Causes Ongoing Challenges in New Home Sales in June

Contracts for new, single-family home sales increased in June by 7.0% to a 646,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate according to estimates from the joint release of HUD and the Census Bureau. The increase came off a downwardly revised May estimate, which was decreased from an initial reading of 626,000 to a new estimate of 604,000. Year-over-year, the June estimate is 4.5% higher compared to… Read More ›

California Leads Job Gains in June

Total nonfarm employment, seasonally adjusted (SA) increased by 2.3 million jobs, year-over-year (YoY), or 1.5% from June 2018 to June 2019. During this time, total nonfarm employment in the Western region increased by 2.0%. The South, Northeast, and Midwest recorded gains at 1.7%, 0.9% and 0.8% respectively, during this time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment… Read More ›

Builder Confidence Holds Firm in July

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose one point to 65 in July, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This marks the sixth consecutive month that sentiment levels have held at a steady range in the low- to mid-60s. Builders report solid demand for single-family homes. However, they continue… Read More ›

Construction Job Openings Fall Back in May

Data from the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) indicate that construction job openings declined in May off a cycle high count in April. The estimated number of job openings in the construction sector fell back to 369,000 after reaching a post-Great Recession high of 434,000 in April. The decline occurred with a somewhat elevated level of layoffs in… Read More ›

The Effect of Affordable Housing on the Surrounding Neighborhood

Although produced by NAHB’s Economists, Eye on Housing is intended for a fairly broad readership with an interest in housing, but not necessarily in the academic research published by technical journals.  Nevertheless, many EoH readers will want to know about a relatively recent technical paper published in Housing Policy Debate.  The paper is called The What, Where, and When of… Read More ›

New Home Sales Decline in May

Contracts for new, single-family home sales declined to a 626,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate in May according to estimates from the joint release of HUD and the Census Bureau. This was a surprising drop due to recent softening of mortgage interest rates and continued low unemployment. Recent months’ data have been relatively positive, with the revised March pace of 705,000… Read More ›

Texas Leads Job Gains in May

Total nonfarm employment, seasonally adjusted (SA) increased by 2.4 million jobs, year-over-year (YoY), or 1.6% from May 2018 to May 2019. During this time, total nonfarm employment in the Western region increased by 2.0%. The South, Northeast, and Midwest recorded gains at 1.6%, 0.9% and 0.8% respectively, during this time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment… Read More ›