Tag Archive for ‘economics’

Builder Confidence Closes Year on a High Note

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes jumped seven points to a level of 70 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This is the highest reading since July 2005. The increase in market confidence follows the November election results, increasing hopes among home builders and other stakeholders in the residential construction industry that… Read More ›

Growth in Homeowners’ Equity Continues

According to the Federal Reserve Board’s third quarter of 2016 release of its Financial Accounts of the United States report, household holdings of real estate, measured on a not seasonally adjusted basis, totaled $22.725 trillion in the third quarter of 2016, $1.520 trillion higher than its level in the third quarter of 2015, $21.204 trillion. At the same time, home mortgage… Read More ›

Non-Mortgage Credit Growth Continues

The Federal Reserve Board reported that consumer credit outstanding continues to grow. However, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.2 percent over the month of October 2016, growth in consumer credit was 1.9 percentage points slower than its rate, 7.1 percent, in September. There is now $3.73 trillion in outstanding consumer credit. Revolving credit has also contributed to the over consumer credit… Read More ›

NAHB Releases the 2016 “Priced Out” Estimates

NAHB Economics recently released its 2016 “Priced Out” Estimates showing that, nationally, a $1,000 increase in the median new home price (triggered, for example, by additional regulation) will leave 152,903 households priced out of the market. This means that 152,903 U.S. households could qualify for a mortgage on the median-priced new home before, but not after, the price increases. The… Read More ›

Residential Construction Employment Grew in November

The count of unfilled jobs in the overall construction sector remained elevated in October, as residential construction employment continued to grow. According to the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and NAHB analysis, the number of open construction sector jobs (on a seasonally adjusted basis) came in at 205,000 in October, after reaching 221,000 in September. The cycle high was 225,000 set in July. The… Read More ›

Rates Steady in October as Increases Expected

Nationally, the contract interest rate on conventional mortgages for home purchase held steady in October 2016. Over the month, the rate on conventional mortgages for home purchase was unchanged at 3.60%, according to data released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA). Rates on the purchase of previously occupied homes ticked up 1 basis point to 3.62% while rates on new homes… Read More ›

Serious Delinquency Rates Improve Across Most Household Debts

A recent release by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York indicates that, in aggregate, 90 or more day delinquency rates are falling on most household debt products. However, serious delinquency on student loans remains elevated while a greater portion of auto debt held by households with low credit scores is entering serious delinquency. The results indicate that household balance… Read More ›

Pending Sales Maintain Pace

The Pending Home Sales Index increased a slight 0.1% in October, but was 1.8% higher than last October. The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts reported by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), increased to 110.0 in October from a downwardly revised 109.9 in September. The PHSI increased 1.6% in the Midwest, 0.7% in… Read More ›

AD&C Lending Expands

The volume of residential construction loans jumped by 4.8% during the third quarter of 2016, marking 14 consecutive quarters of growth and setting the highest quarterly growth rate since the summer of 2014. Tight availability of acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) loans has been a limiting factor for home building growth, but easing credit conditions and a growing loan base have helped expand residential construction activity in a thin inventory environment. According… Read More ›

Single-Family Built-for-Rent Construction

The number of single-family homes built-for-rent posted gains over the last year. However, the built-for-rent market is a small portion of the total single-family development, so care must be taken when identifying trends. According to data from the Census Bureau’s Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design and NAHB analysis, the market share of single-family homes built-for-rent, as measured on a one-year moving… Read More ›