An almost audible sigh of relief is conveyed in the statement that followed the July meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as the committee upgraded its assessment of the economy and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released estimates of economic activity for the April to June quarter, including 4.0% growth in GDP. The BEA reported that real… Read More ›

# Tag Archive for ‘macroeconomics’

## GDP Growth, First Quarter, Third Estimate – Let’s Move On

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the third estimate of real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2014. Real GDP contracted at a 2.9% seasonally adjusted annual rate, down from +0.1% growth in the first (advance) estimate, and -1.0% in the second estimate. The downward revision to the third estimate was concentrated in personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and… Read More ›

## GDP Growth and Inventory Investment – Payback Time

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the second estimate of real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2014. The second estimate is based on more complete data than is available for the advance estimate. Real GDP contracted at a 1.0% seasonally adjusted annual rate, a sharper slowdown than originally estimated (initially +0.1% growth). Growth in the fourth quarter… Read More ›

## GDP Growth and the Fed’s Perspective – Riding the Storm Out

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the advance estimate of real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2014. Real GDP grew at a 0.1% seasonally adjusted annual rate, a sharper slowdown from the 2.6% growth in the fourth quarter than we expected. The slowdown was broad based, with every major category subtracting from growth except personal consumption expenditures… Read More ›

## GDP Growth in the Fourth Quarter – Revised Down

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the second estimate of real GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2013. Real GDP growth was revised down to a 2.4% seasonally adjusted annual rate, from 3.2% in the advance estimate. The second estimate is based on more complete data than was available for the advance estimate. Real GDP grew at an… Read More ›

## GDP Growth in the Fourth Quarter – What Goes Up …

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the advance estimate of real GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2013. Real GDP grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.2%. This is a slowdown from the annual rate of 4.1% in the third quarter. The slowdown in the fourth quarter puts GDP growth on a more realistic path, but… Read More ›

## GDP Growth in the Third Quarter, Third Estimate – Growth That Matters

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the third estimate of real GDP growth for the third quarter of 2013. Real GDP growth was revised upward to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.1%, from the second estimate of 3.6%. Real GDP grew at annual rate of 2.5% in the second quarter and 1.1% in the first quarter. The first… Read More ›

## GDP Growth in the Third Quarter, Second Estimate – Inventory Investment, Blessing or Curse?

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the second estimate of real GDP growth for the third quarter of 2013. Real GDP growth was revised upward to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.6%, from the advance estimate of 2.8%. Real GDP grew at annual rate of 2.5% in the second quarter and 1.1% in the first quarter. The downside… Read More ›

## GDP Growth in the Second Quarter, Third Estimate – Unchanged

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the third estimate of real GDP growth for the second quarter of 2013. Real GDP grew at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.5%, unchanged from the second estimate last month. Downward revisions to inventory investment and exports were offset by upward revisions to state and local government spending. Real GDP growth in… Read More ›

## Near Term Economic Growth – A Fiscal Cliffhanger

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the second estimate of real GDP growth for the third quarter of 2012. Growth was revised upward to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.7%, up from 2.0% in the advance estimate last month. Real GDP grew at a 1.3% pace in the second quarter. The revision was largely due to upward revisions… Read More ›