Double Digit Declines for Single-Family Permits in April 2023 in All Regions

Over the first four months of 2023, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 268,205. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is 29.0% below the April 2022 level of 377,713. Year-to-date ending in April, single-family permits declined in all four regions. The Northeast posted the lowest decline of 17.6%, while the…

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A Hawkish Pause: Landing Flare for the Fed?

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee maintained the federal funds rate at a top target rate of 5.25% at the conclusion of its June meeting. The Fed will also continue to reduce its balance sheet holdings of Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities. Despite the June pause, the Fed’s projections indicated perhaps two more rate hikes are…

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Single-Family Construction Slowdown Less Pronounced in Lower Density Markets

While single-family home building has slowed significantly from pandemic-fueled highs because of higher interest rates and construction costs, the slowdown is less pronounced in lower density markets. On the other hand, multifamily market growth remained strong throughout much of the nation, according to the latest findings from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Home…

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Slower Growth for AD&C Loans

Despite some negative reporting about private builder access to acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) financing, the volume of total outstanding loans posted a gain during the first quarter of 2023, albeit at the slowest growth rate since the end of 2020. Nonetheless, interest rates for these loans have increased as the Fed has raised the…

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Despite Headwinds, Job Openings Rise

The count of open, unfilled jobs for the overall economy moved higher in April, rising to 10.1 million and complicating the June Federal Reserve decision. The higher job opening count for April increases the chance of another rate hike despite some speculation that May was the end of tightening. The count of open jobs was…

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