Tag Archive for ‘economics’

Housing Share of GDP Continues to Decline

With the release of the estimate of second quarter 2019 GDP growth (2.1% growth rate), housing’s share of gross domestic product (GDP) continued a downward trend, more evidence of the the lack of housing supply caused and affected by ongoing housing affordability issues. Housing’s share of GDP fell to 14.6%. The home building and remodeling component – residential fixed investment… Read More ›

US Economic Growth Slows to 2.1% in Second Quarter

According to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.1% in the second quarter of 2019, down from a 3.1% increase in the first quarter of 2019 and above NAHB’s forecast of 1.6%. It is the 21st consecutive quarter of growth. Today’s release also reflected… Read More ›

Housing Affordability Causes Ongoing Challenges in New Home Sales in June

Contracts for new, single-family home sales increased in June by 7.0% to a 646,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate according to estimates from the joint release of HUD and the Census Bureau. The increase came off a downwardly revised May estimate, which was decreased from an initial reading of 626,000 to a new estimate of 604,000. Year-over-year, the June estimate is 4.5% higher compared to… Read More ›

California Leads Job Gains in June

Total nonfarm employment, seasonally adjusted (SA) increased by 2.3 million jobs, year-over-year (YoY), or 1.5% from June 2018 to June 2019. During this time, total nonfarm employment in the Western region increased by 2.0%. The South, Northeast, and Midwest recorded gains at 1.7%, 0.9% and 0.8% respectively, during this time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment… Read More ›

Builder Confidence Holds Firm in July

Builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes rose one point to 65 in July, according to the latest National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). This marks the sixth consecutive month that sentiment levels have held at a steady range in the low- to mid-60s. Builders report solid demand for single-family homes. However, they continue… Read More ›

Construction Job Openings Fall Back in May

Data from the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) indicate that construction job openings declined in May off a cycle high count in April. The estimated number of job openings in the construction sector fell back to 369,000 after reaching a post-Great Recession high of 434,000 in April. The decline occurred with a somewhat elevated level of layoffs in… Read More ›

The Effect of Affordable Housing on the Surrounding Neighborhood

Although produced by NAHB’s Economists, Eye on Housing is intended for a fairly broad readership with an interest in housing, but not necessarily in the academic research published by technical journals.  Nevertheless, many EoH readers will want to know about a relatively recent technical paper published in Housing Policy Debate.  The paper is called The What, Where, and When of… Read More ›

New Home Sales Decline in May

Contracts for new, single-family home sales declined to a 626,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate in May according to estimates from the joint release of HUD and the Census Bureau. This was a surprising drop due to recent softening of mortgage interest rates and continued low unemployment. Recent months’ data have been relatively positive, with the revised March pace of 705,000… Read More ›

Texas Leads Job Gains in May

Total nonfarm employment, seasonally adjusted (SA) increased by 2.4 million jobs, year-over-year (YoY), or 1.6% from May 2018 to May 2019. During this time, total nonfarm employment in the Western region increased by 2.0%. The South, Northeast, and Midwest recorded gains at 1.6%, 0.9% and 0.8% respectively, during this time. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment… Read More ›