Modest Increase in Housing Production

Housing starts and permits rose modestly in March after a very disappointing February. Total housing starts increased 2% to an annual rate of 926,000 from an upwardly revised 908,000 in February. Single-family starts improved slightly better at a 4.4% increase to 618,000 from a virtually unchanged 592,000 in February.

Multifamily starts did drop again to 308,000, the lowest annualized monthly figure since September 2013. Virtually all of the decline in multifamily was in the West with a small reduction in the South finishing out the 8,000 unit drop from February to March on top of the 58,000 drop in February.

Permits were down 5.7% overall but driven again by a 15.9% loss in multifamily, evenly spread across three of the four regions. Northeast multifamily permits rose 55% to 90,000, the highest since June 2008 when a code change caused a one-time jump. The remaining three regions accounted for a 108,000 fall offsetting the 48,000 increase in the Northeast.

Single-family permits rose 2.1% to 636,000 on an annualized basis with only the West showing a decline of 2% or down 3,000 permits to 146,000 permits in March.

The meager rise in single-family starts and permits reflects builders caution as the recovery continues to move in a positive but relatively slow forward direction. Builders remain cautiously optimistic as reflected in the April NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index at 56.

But rising costs for building lots, construction and subcontracting labor and materials have put upward pressure on home prices while consumers remain careful with their money, wage increases remain very modest and existing homes offer an alternative. Tight underwriting has removed some potential buyers, further limiting the pool of those able to buy.

Housing Starts by Region



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1 reply

  1. David – In the past, homebuilders complained of a shortage of developed lots. Do you know if this dynamic is still in play?

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