Rental Vacancy at 12-Year Low, Homeownership Rate Steady

According to the Census Bureau’s quarterly survey, rental vacancy fell 10 basis points to 8.2%. Prior to the second quarter of 2013, vacancy rates have not been this low since 2001. The tightening rental market is a reflection of an improving economy. The trend could also be an indication of future housing demand as renting is typically a first step in household formation.

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Homeowner vacancy, provided in the same survey, increased in the fourth quarter of 2013. The current reading is 2.1% or 20 basis points above last quarter. The current reading is also 20 basis points above the fourth quarter of 2012.

The seasonally adjusted homeownership rate, according to Census data, was 65.1% during the four quarter of 2013. The seasonally adjusted rate has held constant for three consecutive quarters. The current seasonally adjusted rate is well below the historical 20-year average of 66.8%.

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The homeownership rate not adjusted for seasonality was 65.2% during the fourth quarter of 2013. The unadjusted rate is down slightly from last quarter (0.1 percentage points) and from one year ago (0.2 percentage points).

Homeownership rates increased over the third quarter of 2013 for those aged between 45 and 54 and those aged 54 and 64. Homeownership rates decreased over the third quarter of 2013 for those aged between 35 and 44 and those aged over 65. Homeownership rates held steady for those aged under 35.

For the most recent reading, the largest percentage point increase from last quarter occurred for households headed by those aged between 55 and 64 years, who saw an increase of 0.3 percentage points. The largest percentage point decrease from last quarter occurred for households headed by those aged over 65, who saw a decline of 0.5 percentage points.

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Across regions, homeownership rates increased over the third quarter of 2013 in the Midwest and South. Homeownership rates decreased from last quarter in the Northeast and West. For the most recent reading, the largest year-over-year percentage point decline in homeownership occurred in the Northeast (1.1 percentage points). The West historically has the lowest homeownership rate among all four regions. The homeownership rate for the most recent quarter is 59.3% in the West versus a homeownership rate of 69.8% in the Midwest.

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0 replies

  1. Of course, rental vacancy rates vary widely across the country; but the data you provide accurately reflects the current situation in Austin and Dallas, TX. We’ve experienced a huge population influx in the past two years — creating very low vacancy rates and a big demand for new construction. Let’s hope interest rates remain low and the builders can meet the demand; that will make it a little easier for renters to find housing, too.

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