Interest Rates on New Home Loans Remain Stubborn

Earlier today, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) reported a 4 basis point decline in mortgage interest rates for the month of October.  However, the decline was driven entirely by loans on existing homes.  The average contract interest rate on conventional mortgages for new homes stubbornly refused to follow suit, moving instead in the opposite direction from 4.30 to 4.32 percent.  Although this technically continues the upward trend of the previous four months, October’s 2 basis point change is small and represents a substantial leveling off from the June-September increases that averaged 22 basis points a month.Contr Rate Oct 13Initial fees have the potential to offset a small increase in the contract interest rate, but the initial fees on mortgages for new homes also increased in October, from 1.14 to 1.30 percent.  This is the fourth time fees on new home loans have hit 1.30 percent (or higher) since October of last year (following an extended period when they remained below 1.30 every month from the start of 1997 through September of 2012).  As a result, the average effective interest rate on new home loans (which amortizes initial fees over the estimated life of the loan) increased by 3 basis points to 4.47 percent, the highest it’s been since July of 2011.Init Fees Oct 13Also in October, the average size of conventional loans used to purchase new homes—as well as the price of the new homes purchased with the loans—reversed the previous month’s declines.  The average loan size increased 2.6 percent to $302,500, while the average home price increased 3.4 percent to $401,800.  This marks only the third time in its history that the average price of new homes purchased with conventional loans has been above $400,000.Price Oct 13The result of the price and loan size changes is an average loan-to-price ratio that declined for the second month in a row, from 77.5 to 77.1 percent, the lowest it’s been since March.

The above information is based on FHFA’s Monthly Interest Rate Survey (MIRS) of loans closed during the last five working days in October.   For other details about the survey, see the technical note at the end of FHFA’s November 26 news release.



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